In Mid-Q3, just 2% of qualifying GTA neighbourhoods landed in overbidding territory, versus 3% in Early-Q3, signaling softer buyer competition across the market.
Among 267 qualifying GTA neighbourhoods, 97% were underbid and 1% sold at asking in Mid-Q3, showing bidding wars were rare across GTA.
The condo and single-family gap kept narrowing: 95% of neighbourhoods with enough single-family sales were underbid, versus 98% of qualifying condo neighbourhoods.
An economist said Mid-Q3 had been one of GTA Real Estate’s quietest periods, and recently that pattern meant less competition for buyers.
Across 4.2K GTA homes sold in Mid-Q3, 79% changed hands below asking, versus 78% in Early-Q3, as single-family homes stopped bucking softer demand.
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GTA Homebuyer Competition Weakens Further
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New registration requirements for newly built homes in Ontario
Ontario's new home warranty program requires homebuyers to register purchase agreements within 45 days starting Jan. 1, 2027, to detect illegal building and selling. Late or unregistered buyers still get deposit protection through a capped fund. Registration allows verification of builder licensing and alerts authorities to unauthorized sales. Full builder warranty coverage lasts seven years. The process is online and quick, aimed at enhancing consumer protection and disrupting illegal sales.
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Single-Family Homes Enjoy Stable Market with Steady Demand
Homebuyer competition in the Greater Toronto Area weakened in August, with only 2% of neighborhoods experiencing overbidding, down from 3% in July. Of 267 neighborhoods, 97% sold below asking and 1% at asking. The gap between condos and single-family homes narrowed, with 95% of single-family and 98% of condo neighborhoods selling below asking. Overall, 79% of homes sold below asking, indicating reduced competition.
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GTA new single-family home sales surge 246% in July as Ontario’s expanded HST rebate drives buyers back to market
Builder incentives and government tax relief have boosted single-family home sales in the GTA, despite an 8.5% year-over-year price drop. Expanded tax rebates and builder price cuts offer savings unmatched by resale homes, which aren't subject to HST. However, new condo sales remain low due to stricter rebate eligibility. Buyers are advised to automate savings, use tax-advantaged accounts, manage debt, budget for extra costs, and explore various local programs for better affordability.
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Ontario Micro-Condos Face Steep Depreciation
GTA avg. home selling price was $993K in Mid-Q3 2026, down ~3% yearly, showing the broader market continued easing overall for buyers.
GTA condo apartments averaged $618K in Mid-Q3 2026, below the prior year's level, while the smallest units posted the market's sharpest depreciation.
Micro condos, under 500 sq-ft, were toughest to move in the GTA, with limited end-user appeal and buyers gaining access to larger options.
In Early-Q3, condos sold below list in ~98% of GTA neighbourhoods with at least five sales, giving active buyers unusually broad negotiating room.
Single-family homes also saw underbidding across ~92% of GTA neighbourhoods, but condos were more sensitive as investor demand faded and more investor-friendly units lingered. -
Toronto Starts Fall Short of Target
Toronto housing starts ↓10% yearly versus the previous year, a clear sign construction activity moderated in the city's larger urban market during current tracking.
Toronto was tracking 37 building permits tied to 6.6K condominium apartment units where construction had not yet begun in the current pipeline.
The agency said some pending projects could still move forward, because related pre-sales likely happened much earlier than the current reduction in sales activity.
Housing-start data can lag current conditions, because large Toronto projects move through planning and pre-sale phases, permit issuance, then actual construction before starts appear.
That means Toronto's current starts may understate real-time activity, and some permitted condo units could still break ground as the pending pipeline advances. -
National Day for Truth and Reconciliation
National Day for Truth and Reconciliation honours survivors and raises awareness about their experiences.
It's a symbol of Canada's commitment to reconciliation with Indigenous communities.
Wearing orange shirts on this day symbolizes respect for survivors and raises awareness about residential schools.
May this day inspire a future where every voice is heard, and every spirit is healed.
Together, we can create a tomorrow filled with hope and endless possibilities. -
GTA Low-Rise Demand Gets Boost
Following the HST rebate program, demand increased for low-rise new homes in the GTA, signaling stronger buyer interest in that segment recently.
Builders responded to the demand uptick with a steady flow of new low-rise product, keeping the sector balanced and helping limit upward pricing pressure.
The condominium sector continued to struggle to fully participate, as rules around construction start and completion dates limited how much this segment benefited.
Gross pricing was not adjusted for any rebate, but qualifying purchasers could realize additional savings, improving affordability and supporting new homeownership in the GTA.
Industry leaders said measures like this can strengthen the region's economic outlook, protect jobs, and they want governments to help the condo sector participate. -
Unique Home Type Offers Affordable Opportunities in GTA
In the Greater Toronto Area, average home prices fell 2.7% year-over-year to $993,410, with condo prices dropping from $642,195 to $617,593. The smallest condos under 500 sq ft saw the steepest declines, losing up to $152 per square foot in 2025. Investor demand has waned, making micro units less appealing, while larger units remain more attractive. Most condos now sell below list price amid a market glut of investor-targeted units.
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Brampton home prices climb 0.1 per cent to $886,865 in August 2026
Home sales in Brampton rose 3.8% with active listings down 22% year-over-year. The average home price was $886,865, slightly up from July but down 4.1% from last August. Detached houses averaged $1.02 million, semi-detached $774,246, attached $731,389, townhouse condos $569,104, and apartment condos $434,457. Prices have increased about 47.6% since 2016 across all home types.
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